Snowstar Ski Resort Blog

Friday, October 23, 2009

What Will Mom Nature Send Us????

Well it is that time of year to start wondering what winter has in store for us. Once again the forecasts are all over the board. As time has gone on however, they have started to get closer together. In particular, the National Weather Service has backed off somewhat on its initial forecast of a much warmer winter than normal. They are now saying a warmer than normal winter, but we have at least moved closer to the cut-off line between normal and above normal. They have also moved us from the drier than normal range to the normal precipitation range now(as of Oct 15th). So here ya go...............you pick!
1- National Weather Service.....above normal temps and equal chances of near normal precip
2- Farmers' Almanac....Bitterly Cold and Dry
3- Old Farmer's Almanac....Cold and Snowy
4- AccuWeather official forecast(Joe Bastardi)....Not as Cold nor Snowy(similar to NWS)
5- AccuWeather's unofficial(Henry Margusity)....Cold and Snowy
6- Snowday....Brutal Cold and Snowy
Most of the variances center around what El Nino is doing. The cold forecasts believe El Nino will not strengthen and will remain moderately weak. The warmer forecasts hinge upon the belief that El Nino will strengthen.
I personally am not riding the wave of a major El Nino, however I must admit that just recently it has finally strengthened somewhat(well after its strengthening was predicted).

I will update you in a couple of weeks...........
ed