Winter Update

WELL!.............the second guessing has begun.
I am hearing numerous reports that some meteorologists(from both the private commercial sector and the energy sector) are beginning to downplay their winter forecasts. Some are even hinting at a collapse of winter as predicted just a couple weeks ago!
Perhaps part of the problem is that we have just come off 2 significant winters in a row and the anticipation, excitement, and build up for a 3rd such winter has led to over-zealous expectations.
It now looks like the best we may see is seasonal conditions and that may not happen until mid December. Nothing like the winter forecasters being wrong before Winter officially begins.

Accuweather just issued a statement that they need to revise their winter forecast!
Let the back-pedaling begin. They originally predicted the Midwest to see lots of cold and lots of snow. La Nina has proven to be weaker than expected. A strong La Nina often overrides other patterns and will provide more definitive results. A weaker La Nina is more likely to be influenced by other factors, yielding a wide variety of potential outcomes.
One of the key players recently has been the lack of a Greenland Block. Without this block, the dip in the storm track is in the Western U.S. Bingo, that is what November has seen. So, will the NAO go negative sometime soon and create a block???? If you visited my previous posting you may recall my comment about Accuweather's initial forecast............."Sounds too good to be true!!!!!!!!!"..........
I am still holding out for a good winter even if it may be a little late in arriving. The last 2 winters really got cranking as soon as Dec hit. There still have been a lot of winters that got off to a slow start but provided lots of winter in late December into January and February.